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Airline Industry Key Financial Data 2023

The following analysis considers the 46 major publicly listed airline companies with a market capitalisation above $1 billion. The numbers presented are expressed in millions of dollars except for percentages and ratios.

Number 46
Expected Growth Rate 5,49%
Financials 2023
Total Revenues  $ 579.519,00
Operating Income   $   45.270,00
Free Cash Flows Firm  $   23.032,57
Effective Tax Rate  18,27%
10Y Median Operating Ratios
 Revenues Growth  4,6%
 Gross Margin  24,0%
Operating Margin 8,3%
Reinvestment Margin 3,8%
ROIC 8,7%
Sales to IC 1,34
Solvency Ratios
Debt to EV 51,9%
Debt to Equity 163,6%
Interest Coverage  4,46
Rating  A2/A
Spread 1,42%
Beta
Unlevered Beta 2 y 0,27
Unlevered Beta 5 y 0,46

In 2023 the airline industry generated $579.5 billion in revenues, an increase of 33.7% from the $433.6 billion of 2022.

Over the past 10 years, the median growth rate in revenues has been 4.6%.

Year Total Revenues
2023 579.519
2022 433.591
2021 289.875
2020 274.866
2019 538.737
2018 518.901
2017 490.016
2016 442.742
2015 438.560
2014 456.169
2013 448.435
2012 415.718

Overall, the airline industry registered an operating income of $45.2 billion in 2023. Regarding profitability, the 10-year median gross margin is 24%, while the 10-year median operating margin is equal to 8.3%.

Year Operating Income 
2023 45.270
2022 (6.776)
2021 (47.475)
2020 (59.616)
2019 47.005
2018 47.463
2017 49.415
2016 50.934
2015 49.344
2014 31.135
2013 22.754
2012 14.657

The total free cash flows to the firm for the airline industry instead, were equal to $23 billion in 2023.

Moving on to efficiency ratios, the airline industry’s 10-year median return on invested capital (ROIC) is 8.7%, while the 10-year median sales to invested capital is equal to 1.34.

The 10-year median reinvestment margin for the airline industry – expressed as total reinvestments in net capital expenditures, acquisitions, and R&D divided by total revenues – is 3.8%.

Multiplying the reinvestment margin, which shows how much airline companies have invested over the past years, by the sales to invested capital ratio, showing how efficiently airline companies have invested, is it possible to calculate the expected growth rate in revenues for the airline industry, equal to 5.49%.

Check out this post for a detailed explanation of how to calculate future revenue growth rates.

Median expected growth rate
5,49%
Year Reinvestment Margin Sales To IC
2023 2,59% 1,23
2022 1,79% 0,90
2021 -5,98% 0,65
2020 -3,57% 0,58
2019 2,73% 1,30
2018 5,39% 1,38
2017 6,02% 1,51
2016 7,84% 1,43
2015 6,01% 1,50
2014 4,86% 1,53
2013 3,81% 0,35

As regards solvency ratios, the debt-to-enterprise value ratio for the airline industry is 51.9%, while the debt-to-equity ratio is 163.6%.

The interest coverage ratio instead, showing how much the operating income covers interest expenses, is equal to 4.5, which would translate into a credit rating for the airline industry equal to A2/A based on Moody’s rating standards.

Finally, the unlevered beta of the airline industry – which is the beta depurated by the debt leverage – has been 0.27, for the past 2 years, and 0.46, for the past 5 years.

However, the beta is only one of the required inputs to calculate the appropriate discount rate for company valuation, check out this page where you can find the equity risk premium for different markets needed to calculate the required cost of equity.