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Logistic and Air Freight

Logistic and Air Freight Industry Key Financial Data 2023

The following analysis considers the 45 major publicly listed logistic and air freight companies with a market capitalisation above $1 billion. The numbers in the tables are expressed in millions of dollars except for percentages and ratios.

Number 45
Expected Growth Rate 5,65%
Financials 2023
Total Revenues  $ 675.924,00
Operating Income   $   37.820,00
Free Cash Flows Firm  $   26.325,75
Effective Tax Rate  24,59%
10Y Median Operating Ratios
 Revenues Growth  6,6%
 Gross Margin  15,7%
Operating Margin 6,4%
Reinvestment Margin 1,9%
ROIC 13,3%
Sales to IC 2,64
Solvency Ratios
Debt to EV 21,2%
Debt to Equity 54,3%
Interest Coverage  10,73
Rating  Aaa/AAA
Spread 0,69%
Beta
Unlevered Beta 2 y 0,52
Unlevered Beta 5 y 0,64

In 2023 the logistic and air freight industry generated $675.9 billion in revenues, a decrease of -11.3% from the $761.8 billion of 2022.

Over the past 10 years, the median growth rate in revenues has been 6.6%.

Year Total Revenues
2023 675.924
2022 761.792
2021 708.865
2020 580.261
2019 510.694
2018 466.500
2017 441.408
2016 364.209
2015 345.881
2014 353.420
2013 355.273
2012 334.261

Overall, the logistic and air freight industry registered an operating income of $37.8 billion in 2023. Regarding profitability, the 10-year median gross margin is 15.7%, while the 10-year median operating margin is equal to 6.4%.

Year Operating Income 
2023 37.820
2022 50.854
2021 48.652
2020 30.033
2019 26.006
2018 27.637
2017 27.904
2016 25.588
2015 23.568
2014 22.943
2013 22.796
2012 19.728

The total free cash flows to the firm for the logistic and air freight industry instead, were equal to $26.3 billion in 2023.

Moving on to efficiency ratios, the logistic and air freight industry’s 10-year median return on invested capital (ROIC) is 13.3%, while the 10-year median sales to invested capital is equal to 2.64.

The 10-year median reinvestment margin for the logistic and air freight industry – expressed as total reinvestments in net capital expenditures, acquisitions, and R&D divided by total revenues – is 1.9%.

Multiplying the reinvestment margin, which shows how much logistic and air freight companies have invested over the past years, by the sales to invested capital ratio, showing how efficiently logistic and air freight companies have invested, is it possible to calculate the expected growth rate in revenues for the logistic and air freight industry, equal to 5.65%.

Check out this post for a detailed explanation of how to calculate future revenue growth rates.

Median Expected Growth Rate
5,65%
Year Reinvestment Margin Sales To IC
2023 0,48% 2,14
2022 2,05% 2,46
2021 1,88% 2,62
2020 1,58% 2,49
2019 2,27% 2,55
2018 2,82% 2,67
2017 1,62% 3,50
2016 4,32% 3,21
2015 3,00% 3,31
2014 1,58% 3,36
2013 1,41% 4,00
2012 1,80% 3,69

As regards solvency ratios, the debt-to-enterprise value ratio for the logistic and air freight industry is 21.2%, while the debt-to-equity ratio is 54.3%.

The interest coverage ratio instead, showing how much the operating income covers interest expenses, is equal to 10.73, which would translate into a credit rating for the logistic and air freight industry equal to Aaa/AAA based on Moody’s rating standards.

Finally, the unlevered beta of the logistic and air freight industry – which is the beta depurated by the debt leverage – has been 0.52, for the past 2 years, and 0.64, for the past 5 years.

However, the beta is only one of the required inputs to calculate the appropriate discount rate for company valuation, check out this page where you can find the equity risk premium for different markets needed to calculate the required cost of equity.